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Commercial solar by size

1 MW solar system: cost, output and payback (2026)

What 1 MW of solar costs, makes and saves a business, with every assumption shown. It often suits a very large distribution centre or industrial site, where the roof (or several roofs and carports) can hold about 2,300 panels.
Distribution centre roof covered in thousands of solar panels

1 MW at a glance

Quick facts for planning. Each is explained further down, with where the number comes from.
Panels
about 2,273
at 440 W each (assumed)
Panel area
about 5,001 m²
at 2.2 m² a panel, before access paths
Output
1,185 to 1,536 MWh a year
across the eight capital cities
Certificates
mid-scale STCs
fixed 5-year deeming from 1 Oct 2026

What does a 1 MW system cost?

Solar Choice publishes prices up to 100 kW only. For 1 MW this is our estimate, not a quote: $1,000 per kW before certificates (excluding GST), less mid-scale STCs at $35 each, plus 10% GST. Assumption for mid-scale systems: no public price table covers them, so we hold the 100 kW level of about $1,000 per kW (derived as for smaller systems). Real projects vary a lot; edit it to match your quotes.
Estimated 1 MW price by city, after STCs, including GST
CitySTCs (est.)Estimated price
Sydney6,910$833,965
Melbourne5,925$871,888
Brisbane6,910$833,965
Adelaide6,910$833,965
Perth6,910$833,965
Hobart5,925$871,888
Canberra6,910$833,965
Darwin7,680$804,320

These ignore metering, ground-mounting, grid studies and any network upgrades, and assume the 100 kW price per kW holds at this size, which may not be true. Edit the price per kW in the calculator to match real quotes.

How much does 1 MW make in each capital?

Annual output is the system size times the Clean Energy Regulator’s zone rating for the city centre postcode, times 1,000. It is a deemed figure, not a forecast for your roof.
Annual output of a 1 MW system by capital city
CityPostcodeZone (rating)kWh a yearCertificates
Sydney20003 (1.382)1,382,0006,910
Melbourne30004 (1.185)1,185,0005,925
Brisbane40003 (1.382)1,382,0006,910
Adelaide50003 (1.382)1,382,0006,910
Perth60003 (1.382)1,382,0006,910
Hobart70004 (1.185)1,185,0005,925
Canberra26003 (1.382)1,382,0006,910
Darwin08002 (1.536)1,536,0007,680

Certificates assume installation on 1 November 2026. Rating in MWh per kW per year.

Panels and roof

At an assumed 440 W per panel, 1 MW is about 2,273 panels, covering roughly 5,001 m² (2.2 m² a panel).
  • You need more roof than the panel area: walkways for maintenance, setbacks from edges, and gaps between rows if the panels are tilted on a flat roof.
  • The roof must carry the load. Older or sheet-metal roofs may need a structural engineer’s report, and asbestos roofs are a separate problem to solve first.
  • Your installer’s panel size will differ from our assumption, so the panel count will too. Ask for the layout drawing.

Which certificates does it get, and why?

1 MW is above 100 kW and within 1 MW, so it falls into the new mid-scale part of the small-scale scheme from 1 October 2026.

Mid-scale systems (over 100 kW up to 1 MW) installed on or after 1 October 2026 get a fixed 5-year deeming period, whatever the year. Before that date they could not create STCs at all. We assume the same sum as the small-scale scheme, with 5 years: in Sydney that is 6,910 certificates. Check the figure with the Clean Energy Regulator’s mid-scale calculator.

  • The Clean Energy Regulator says applications for mid-scale STCs open in mid to late November 2026.
  • Eligibility depends on the installation date, which is when the system was first able to produce and deliver electricity.
  • You need evidence of planning and building approvals, and network connection approval where it applies, plus the panels’ serial numbers.
  • If you take STCs you can’t also create REGO certificates during the deeming period.

Systems over 1 MW don’t get STCs. They can be accredited as a power station and earn large-scale generation certificates (LGCs) instead, which is a separate and more involved process.

Try your own postcode and date in the STC calculator, and read our guide to mid-scale STCs.

Network approval

Systems over about 30 kW usually need the local network’s approval before they are switched on, and sometimes studies, protection equipment or limits on how much you can export. That can add cost and weeks or months. Mid-scale STC applications also need evidence of the network’s approval.

Start the application early, and ask each installer who pays for studies and what happens if the network says no. Read our guide to grid connection.

A worked payback example

A Monday to Friday business in Sydney using 2,073,000 kWh a year (about 1.5 times what a 1 MW system makes), open 7am to 5pm. Your business will differ, so use this to see how the sums work, not as a promise.
Output in year 1
1,382,000 kWh
Used on site (modelled)
75%
Saving in year 1
$269,691
Installed price
$1,000,000 excluding GST
Certificates (mid-scale STCs)
6,910 worth $241,850
Net cost
$758,150
Simple payback
2.9 years
25-year NPV at 7%
$2,796,583
IRR
35.8%
Cost per kWh over its life
6.1c

Assumptions in this example

  • Electricity rate avoided: 25 c/kWh excluding GST, rising 2.5% a year.
  • Export rate: 3 c/kWh, held flat.
  • Installed price: $1,000 per kW before certificates, excluding GST.
  • Certificates at $35 each; installed 1 November 2026.
  • Output falls 0.5% a year; maintenance $12 per kW a year, rising with prices; 25 years.
  • Discount rate 7%.
  • Not included: demand charges, batteries, finance costs, tax and depreciation, network costs, inverter replacement.

Run your own numbers

Questions about 1 MW systems

How much does a 1 MW commercial solar system cost?
There is no public price table for systems this size. Our estimate assumes about $1,000 per kW before certificates (excluding GST), which is about $1,000,000 for 1 MW, less about $241,850 of mid-scale STCs. Real quotes vary a lot with the roof, the network and the site, so treat it as a starting point and get several.
How much electricity does a 1 MW system make?
About 1,185,000 to 1,536,000 kWh a year, depending on the city, using the Clean Energy Regulator’s zone ratings (size × rating × 1,000). In Sydney that is 1,382,000 kWh. Real output varies with shade, tilt, orientation and dirt.
Does a 1 MW system get the solar rebate?
From 1 October 2026, yes: systems over 100 kW and up to 1 MW can earn STCs with a fixed 5-year deeming period. That is about 6,910 certificates in Sydney, worth roughly $241,850 at $35 each. Applications are expected to open in mid to late November 2026.
How many panels and how much roof does 1 MW need?
About 2,273 panels at 440 W each, covering roughly 5,001 square metres of panel area. You need more roof than that for access paths, edge setbacks and tilt-frame spacing, and the roof must be strong enough and not heavily shaded.
Is a 1 MW system the right size for my business?
It often suits a very large distribution centre or industrial site, where the roof (or several roofs and carports) can hold about 2,300 panels. The right size depends on how much power you use in daylight, not how much roof you have. The usual mistake is a system bigger than your daytime use, which exports surplus at a low rate. Run your numbers in the calculator.
When is solar not worth it for a business?
When you rent with a short lease, plan to move, mostly use power at night, have a shaded, fragile or asbestos roof, or can’t get the network’s approval to connect. In those cases, ask about energy efficiency first, or a lease with the landlord’s agreement.

Ready to compare real numbers?

Run your own figures first, then ask at least three accredited installers to quote on the same brief. Quotes are free and you’re under no obligation.